Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.786456 0.911450 1.046871 1.204111 1.381264 1.574275 1.800060
2024-12-22 0.597092 0.768352 0.970496 1.224975 1.534901 1.898119 2.353843
2024-12-29 0.493927 0.694618 0.949088 1.291298 1.734773 2.284931 3.013189
2025-01-05 0.395798 0.603656 0.884799 1.285587 1.833684 2.547361 3.535424
2025-01-12 0.320697 0.527101 0.823191 1.267890 1.905492 2.771237 4.016638
2025-01-19 0.265449 0.467669 0.773853 1.255889 1.976708 2.992089 4.502063
2025-01-26 0.230532 0.432472 0.753366 1.279978 2.096787 3.284304 5.100859
2025-02-02 0.200399 0.399310 0.730246 1.294907 2.200923 3.556832 5.684915
2025-02-09 0.174180 0.368013 0.705074 1.301867 2.290411 3.810218 6.252706
2025-02-16 0.156252 0.348466 0.696484 1.333614 2.419416 4.129036 6.934368
2025-02-23 0.138099 0.325215 0.677940 1.345341 2.514791 4.399182 7.553895
2025-03-02 0.115322 0.288500 0.629743 1.298986 2.507257 4.502813 7.915321
2025-03-09 0.105176 0.276987 0.628411 1.338498 2.652511 4.866930 8.719624
2025-03-16 0.094998 0.263626 0.621783 1.367385 2.781241 5.211676 9.512187
2025-03-23 0.090270 0.262001 0.638623 1.442611 2.998624 5.717863 10.596946
2025-03-30 0.079112 0.242719 0.615893 1.437195 3.066281 5.969909 11.267043
2025-04-06 0.068456 0.222435 0.588065 1.418032 3.105481 6.172884 11.861718
2025-04-13 0.059708 0.205247 0.564602 1.404933 3.154145 6.393563 12.495275
2025-04-20 0.054496 0.196755 0.560061 1.431503 3.282081 6.763457 13.406810
2025-04-27 0.049278 0.187114 0.551419 1.447957 3.390308 7.101927 14.276636
2025-05-04 0.044199 0.176740 0.539502 1.455624 3.480562 7.410701 15.105601
2025-05-11 0.040928 0.171365 0.539534 1.490569 3.629564 7.837283 16.166825
2025-05-18 0.037031 0.163016 0.530627 1.503475 3.732377 8.179790 17.086534